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The Bursting Of China's Political Bubble

机译:中国政治泡沫的破裂

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摘要

When most market analysts talk about the bursting of the Chinese "bubble," they are referring to the recent dramatic losses on the various stock exchanges. The more serious bursting, however, could be of the social and economic bubble where government officials have allowed expectations to soar that hundreds of millions more Chinese citizens will soon be able to join the middle class.rnLast month, Beijing announced a whopping $586 billion fiscal package to stimulate domestic demand. The package is so large many Western observers quickly concluded that Chinese economic strategists are worried not only about collapsing exports, but about seriously weakening domestic demand. Some forecasters predict fourth quarter GDP growth in China could drop from last year's nearly 12 percent to between 5 and 6 percent.
机译:当大多数市场分析师谈论中国“泡沫”的破裂时,他们指的是各个股票交易所最近遭受的巨大损失。然而,更严重的爆发可能是社会和经济泡沫,政府官员已经允许人们期望迅速飙升,使成千上万的中国公民将很快加入中产阶级。上个月,北京宣布了高达5860亿美元的财政预算。一揽子刺激内需。一揽子计划是如此之大,许多西方观察家很快得出结论,中国经济策略师不仅担心出口萎缩,而且担心国内需求严重减弱。一些预测者预测,中国第四季度的GDP增长可能会从去年的近12%降至5%至6%。

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    《The International Economy》 |2008年第4期|5|共1页
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