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Consumption, Wealth, and Indebtedness in the Context of Uncertainty: The Consumption Function Meets Portfolio Theory

机译:不确定性背景下的消费,财富和负债:消费函数符合投资组合理论

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摘要

The objective of this paper is to provide a sound theoretical framework for the empirical analysis of consumer indebtedness, by integrating Portfolio theory with the Life-Cycle hypothesis (LCH) model of consumption. Modern versions of this LCH theory almost always assume that utility is additive over time, but in this study, the multiplicative Cobb-Douglas function is used. The new synthesis also explains the stochastic properties of consumption more fully and clearly than previous studies, in particular the uncertainty arising from rates of return on risky assets. The new theory will also help to improve the explanation of the surprise changes in consumption because these sources of risk are incorporated explicitly into the analysis.
机译:本文的目的是通过将投资组合理论与消费的生命周期假设(LCH)模型相结合,为消费者负债的实证分析提供一个合理的理论框架。 LCH理论的现代版本几乎总是假设效用随时间推移是加性的,但是在本研究中,使用了乘法Cobb-Douglas函数。新的综合报告还比以前的研究更全面,清楚地解释了消费的随机性,尤其是风险资产收益率带来的不确定性。新理论也将有助于改善对消费意外变化的解释,因为这些风险来源已明确纳入分析。

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