Robust Ensemble Kalman Filter for Medium-Voltage Distribution System State Estimation

摘要

This article proposes a forecasting-aided medium-voltage (MV) distribution system state estimation (SE) method using a robust ensemble Kalman filter (REnKF). In the proposed solution, low-voltage (LV) measurements at the LV side of secondary substations are used together with the mathematical model of the MV/LV substations to derive new equivalent MV measurements. This yields the improvement of measurement redundancy and robustness of the REnKF to bad data and unknown system process noise. Specifically, we rely on the temporal correlations of the constructed innovation vector as well as the projection statistics (PS) to detect and modify the measurement error covariance matrix. Furthermore, the system process noise covariance matrix is updated adaptively to mitigate the impacts of uncertainties ON-state forecasting and measurement filtering. Extensive comparisons have been carried out with both the traditional EnKF and other SE formulations under balanced and unbalanced distribution system conditions. The results reveal that our proposed REnKF is able to obtain accurate SE results under various operation conditions, including the presence of intermittent renewable energy sources, bad data, and system unbalance.