Online Vehicle Velocity Prediction Using an Adaptive Radial Basis Function Neural Network

摘要

In order to improve the performance of predictive energy management strategies (PEMS), a novel neural network based vehicle velocity prediction strategy (NN-VVP) was proposed. First, an online trained radial basis function neural network (RBF-NN) with a fixed structure was adopted to build online vehicle velocity prediction (VVP) model. The influence of order and width of RBF-NN on the online prediction accuracy was studied in depth, it was found that RBF-NN with a fixed structure was not always suitable for the overall online prediction process. Then, by introducing a neural network structure determination method (SDM) with the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), an adaptive RBF-NN which adjust structure in real time was designed to perform online VVP to further improve the prediction accuracy. Simulation results indicate that, the VVP strategy proposed in this paper predicts the future vehicle velocity with acceptable accuracy. Compared with the fixed structure, the RBF-NN with an adaptive structure significantly improve the prediction accuracy by approximately 63.2%, 70.4%, and 71.1%.