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Variational Estimation in Spatiotemporal Systems From Continuous and Point-Process Observations

机译:时空系统中连续和点过程观测的变分估计

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摘要

Spatiotemporal models are ubiquitous in science and engineering, yet estimation in these models from discrete observations remains computationally challenging. We propose a practical novel approach to inference in spatiotemporal processes, both from continuous and from discrete (point-process) observations. The method is based on a finite-dimensional reduction of the spatiotemporal model, followed by a mean field variational approximate inference approach. To cater for the point-process case, a variational-Laplace approach is proposed which yields tractable computations of approximate variational posteriors. Results show that variational Bayes is a viable and practical alternative to statistical methods such as expectation maximization or Markov chain Monte Carlo.
机译:时空模型在科学和工程中无处不在,但是从离散观测中估计这些模型仍然在计算上具有挑战性。我们提出了一种实用的新颖方法,可以从连续和离散(点过程)观测中推断时空过程。该方法基于时空模型的有限维缩减,然后采用平均场变化近似推断方法。为了适应点处理的情况,提出了一种变分-拉普拉斯方法,该方法可产生近似变分后验的易处理计算。结果表明,变分贝叶斯算法是诸如期望最大化或马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛等统计方法的可行且实用的替代方法。

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