Reliability and survivability are the two important attributes of cellular networks. In the existing literature, these measures were studied through the simulation. In this paper, we construct an analytical model to determine reliability and survivability attributes of third generation and beyond Universal Mobile Telecommunication Systems (UMTS) networks. Hierarchical architecture of UMTS networks is modeled using stochastic models such as Markov chains, semi-Markov process, reliability block diagrams and Markov reward models to obtain these attributes. The model can be tailored to evaluate the reliability and survivability attributes of other beyond third generation cellular networks such as All-IP UMTS networks and CDMA2000. Numerical results illustrate the applicability of the proposed analytical model. It is observed that incorporating fault tolerance increases the network reliability and survivability. The results are useful for reliable topological design of UMTS networks. In addition, it can help the guarantee of network connectivity after any failure, without over dimensioning the networks. Moreover, it might have some impact from the point of view of the design and evaluation of UMTS infrastructures.
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