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An organizational model for transitional negotiations: concepts, design and applications

机译:过渡谈判的组织模型:概念,设计和应用

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摘要

Negotiations generally tend to focus efforts on attaining optimality in single-problem contexts that are ad hoc, disparate and temporary in nature. Once negotiators reach agreement, the process usually attains closure and the long-term impact of the outcome is rarely considered. In organizational settings, decisions involving quid pro quos are, however, made on a continuous basis. Since organizational environments are constantly in flux, negotiated solutions that appeared successful on a given problem at first might no longer work out to be effective in the long run. We postulate that organizations evolve from one state to another and negotiations play an important part in these transitions. From this perspective, decision-making in organizations or between them can be modeled using sequential Markov chains that converge on homeostasis. This leads to a prescriptive approach for transitional negotiations that allow for assessment of the long-term impact of decisions and suggest acceptance of possible short-term losses in favor of the better payoffs that are to come. We provide a hydraulic dam example to illustrate the transitional aspect of decision-making over time. Based on earlier successful GDSS, we also suggest a software architecture that would allow the proposed theoretical model to be implemented as an organization negotiation support system with practical benefits.
机译:谈判通常趋向于集中精力在本质上是临时的,完全不同的和暂时的单个问题环境中实现最优。一旦谈判者达成协议,该过程通常会达成结案,很少考虑结果的长期影响。但是,在组织机构中,涉及交换条件的决策是连续进行的。由于组织环境不断变化,因此从长远来看,最初在特定问题上看起来很成功的协商解决方案可能不再奏效。我们假设组织从一个州发展到另一个州,而谈判在这些过渡中起着重要的作用。从这个角度来看,可以使用收敛于动态平衡的顺序马尔可夫链对组织中或组织之间的决策建模。这导致了过渡谈判的规定性方法,该方法允许评估决策的长期影响,并建议接受可能的短期损失,以期获得更好的回报。我们提供了一个水力大坝示例,以说明随着时间推移决策的过渡方面。基于较早成功的GDSS,我们还提出了一种软件体系结构,该体系结构可使提出的理论模型作为具有实际利益的组织协商支持系统得以实施。

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