Technology diffusion: forecasting with bibliometric analysis and Bass model

摘要

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to use bibliometric analysis to forecast RFID technologyrnand uses the adoption of barcode scanner to model the RFID scanner adoption in the US retailrnmarket.rnDesign/methodology/approach - Forecasting emerging technologies and identifying the rate ofrndiffusion of products based on these technologies is difficult because of lack of data. This paper usesrntechniques such as bibliometric analysis and Bass model based on analogous products.rnFindings - The authors were able to come up with a good Bass model for the adoption of RFIDrnscanners in the retail sector. And according to the Bass model it appears that it will take at least seven orrneight years for the retailers to adopt to this new technology at their point-of-sale.rnOriginality/value - This paper attempts to use bibliometric analysis and Bass model for forecastingrntechnologies and provides a new research discussion as results from these two are compared.