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ANNUS HORRIBILIS

机译:剂量恐怖症

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摘要

You've heard various versions of "the three greatest lies in the world," all beginning with "The check is in the maiL" Heres my updated version: Emerging markets aren't tied to the U.S. Commodities are a new asset class. An AAA rating means no risk to your principal. This has been a year most of us would like to forget. I made the horrific mistake of looking for a bottom in the housing market and in consumer spending way too soon. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were nationalized, wiping out not only their common stock but their preferred as well. In the ultimate irony, neither agency has yet borrowed a dollar from the Treasury.rnIt is tempting to play ostrich and stick one's head in the sand. However, rolling over short-term Treasurys that yield 1% preserves capital in nominal terms but almost certainly not in real terms, against inflation. The best advice I can give you is to choose an allocation whose level of risk and opportunity you can live with, stick to it and rebalance it once a month.
机译:您已经听说过“世界三大谎言”的各种版本,所有版本都以“支票支付”开头,以下是我的更新版本:新兴市场与美国无关,大宗商品是新的资产类别。 AAA评级意味着您的本金没有风险。这是我们大多数人都想忘记的一年。我犯了一个可怕的错误,那就是过早地在房地产市场和消费者支出中寻找底部。房利美(Fannie Mae)和房地美(Freddie Mac)被国有化,不仅消灭了普通股,而且消灭了他们的首选股。极具讽刺意味的是,两家公司都没有从财政部借钱。这很诱人,要打鸵鸟,把头埋在沙子里。但是,将短期国库券的收益率提高到1%可以保留名义上的资本,但几乎可以肯定的是,它实际上不能抵御通货膨胀。我能为您提供的最佳建议是选择一种可以承受的风险和机会等级,坚持并每月重新调整一次。

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  • 来源
    《Forbes》 |2008年第10期|138|共1页
  • 作者

    Lisa W. Hess;

  • 作者单位
  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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