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Latin America: Stories Of The 1970s For 2009

机译:拉丁美洲:2009年的1970年代故事

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摘要

Latin America has just Experienced six years of the high-est GDP growth it's had in more than 40 years. Because this mini-bonanza was continuing a year after the subprime meltdown began, some people believed that for the most part the Latin American nations' economic performance had become decoupled from the developed countries' economic ills. As recently as mid-September Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva was saying: "People ask me about the crisis, and I answer, 'Go ask Bush. It is his crisis, not mine.'" Well, such comments are not being made anymore: The American disease has become a global pandemic. Given Latin Americas increasing integration into the global economy, it was unfounded to think that the U.S.' southern neighbors would be spared. These nations failed to acknowledge that in addition to their sounder fundamentals, the expansion they'd enjoyed since late 2002 had benefited from an unusual conjunction of positive external factors that had little to do with their domestic policies. Until a few months ago there was a buoyant demand for Latin Americas exports, exceptionally high prices in world markets for their commodities and easy credit available in international capital markets. Today the opposite is true.
机译:拉丁美洲刚刚经历了超过40年来的最高GDP增长六年。由于次级抵押贷款危机爆发后的一年仍在继续这种微型富裕状态,因此有人认为,拉丁美洲国家的经济表现在很大程度上已与发达国家的经济弊病脱钩。就在9月中旬,巴西总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦(Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva)说:“人们问我关于这场危机的情况,我回答:“去问布什。这是他的危机,不是我的。””不再制造:美国疾病已成为全球流行病。鉴于拉丁美洲日益融入全球经济,因此认为美国是没有根据的。南部的邻居将幸免。这些国家没有意识到,除了稳健的基本面之外,自2002年末以来,它们所享受的扩张还得益于积极的外部因素的不寻常结合,这些因素与他们的国内政策无关。直到几个月前,拉丁美洲的出口需求旺盛,世界市场商品价格异常高涨,国际资本市场上也有容易获得的信贷。今天,情况恰恰相反。

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  • 来源
    《Forbes》 |2009年第1期|23|共1页
  • 作者

    Ernesto Zedillo;

  • 作者单位
  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
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