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Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift: The Role of Revenue Surprises

机译:盈余公告的漂移:收入意外的作用

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The study reported here consisted of estimating earnings and sales (or revenue) surprises either with historical time-series data or with analyst forecasts. Post-earnings-announcement drift was found to be stronger when the revenue surprise was in the same direction as the earnings surprise. This result proved to be robust to various controls, including the proportions of stock held by institutional investors, arbitrage risk, and turnover (prior 60-month average trading volume). This finding is consistent with prior evidence that earnings surprises have a more persistent effect on future earnings growth when they consist of higher revenue surprises than when they consist of lower expense surprises.
机译:此处报告的研究包括使用历史时间序列数据或分析师预测来估计收益和销售(或收入)的意外情况。当收入意外与收益意外处于同一方向时,发现盈余公告后的漂移会更大。事实证明,该结果对于各种控制措施都是稳健的,包括机构投资者所持股票的比例,套利风险和营业额(60个月前的平均交易量)。这一发现与先前的证据相符,即当收入突增包括较高的收入突击时,其收益比对费用突降较低的突击对未来收益增长的影响更为持久。

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