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Using cross-validation for model parameter selection of sequential probability ratio test

机译:使用交叉验证进行顺序概率比检验的模型参数选择

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摘要

The sequential probability ratio test is widely used in in-situ monitoring, anomaly detection, and decision making for electronics, structures, and process controls. However, because model parameters for this method, such as the system disturbance magnitudes, and false and missed alarm probabilities, are selected by users primarily based on experience, the actual false and missed alarm probabilities are typ ically higher than the requirements of the users. This paper presents a systematic method to select model parameters for the sequential probability ratio test by using a cross-validation technique. The presented method can improve the accuracy of the sequential probability ratio test by reducing the false and missed alarm probabilities caused by improper model parameters. A case study of anomaly detection of reset table fuses is used to demonstrate the application of a cross validation method to select model parame ters for the sequential probability ratio test.
机译:顺序概率比测试广泛用于电子,结构和过程控制的原位监视,异常检测和决策。但是,由于这种方法的模型参数(例如系统扰动幅度以及虚假和遗漏警报概率)是用户主要根据经验选择的,因此实际的虚假和遗漏警报概率通常高于用户的要求。本文提出了一种使用交叉验证技术为顺序概率比检验选择模型参数的系统方法。通过减少模型参数不正确引起的误报和漏报概率,提出的方法可以提高顺序概率比检验的准确性。以复位表保险丝的异常检测为例,以演示交叉验证方法为顺序概率比测试选择模型参数的应用。

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