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Economic Analysis of R&D Projects: An Options Approach

机译:研发项目的经济分析:一种选择方法

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摘要

An emerging trend in research and development (R&D) project valuation is the use of options approach, which permits a more flexible assessment of the future growth opportunities in the entire process. The traditional DCF method when naively applied fails to capture all the future opportunities that create value, thereby resulting in an under investment in R&D. The options approach is more appropriate in a world of uncertainty because it views and R&D project as an initial investment that creates future follow-on commercial opportunities that are undertaken only if the initial R&D project is successful. Valuation of R&D projects is usually complex due to substantial uncertainties at different Project phases, including the R&D phase and commercialization phases.
机译:研发(R&D)项目评估的一种新兴趋势是使用期权方法,该方法可以更灵活地评估整个过程中的未来增长机会。传统的DCF方法在天真地应用时无法抓住创造价值的所有未来机会,从而导致研发投入不足。期权方法在不确定的世界中更为合适,因为它把研发项目视为一项初始投资,它创造了未来的后续商业机会,这些机会只有在最初的研发项目成功的情况下才能进行。由于在不同的项目阶段(包括研发阶段和商业化阶段)存在很大的不确定性,因此研发项目的评估通常很复杂。

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