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When Will Oil Peak?

机译:石油何时会达到顶峰?

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摘要

World oil production peaking will require physical mitigation if we are to avoid severe, long-lasting, worldwide economic damage. In the following, we identify available options for oil peaking mitigation, and we estimate the time required for effective implementation. Our approach is approximate and transparent to facilitate understanding. As is widely appreciated, projecting future world oil production is an extremely complex problem. Experts have used various data, estimates, and formalisms to develop forecasts for when world oil production peaking might occur. We take no position on the timing, only that it is certain to occur.
机译:如果我们要避免严重,持久的全球经济损害,世界石油产量达到顶峰将需要物理缓解。在下文中,我们确定了缓解石油峰值的可用选项,并估算了有效实施所需的时间。我们的方法是近似和透明的,以促进理解。众所周知,预测未来世界石油产量是一个极其复杂的问题。专家们使用各种数据,估计值和形式主义来预测世界石油产量何时可能达到峰值。我们对时机不抱任何立场,只是肯定会发生。

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