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Electricity consumption and economic growth in the GCC countries: Panel data analysis

机译:海湾合作委员会国家的电力消耗和经济增长:面板数据分析

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Applying recent advances in panel data analysis, we investigate the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in the GCC countries using annual data from 1975 to 2012. Within a framework which takes into consideration dynamics, heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence in the panel, we show that the results obtained from using the PMGE, demeaned PMG, AMG, MGE and DFE models indicate a long-run equilibrium relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth. In order to determine the appropriate model and decide the preferred estimator, the Hausman test was performed. The PMGE model emerged as the most efficient of the three estimators. Also, the results obtained revealed a bi-directional causality between economic growth and electricity consumption in these countries, which supports the feedback hypothesis. As a result, this implies that if these countries adopt or implement any energy or electricity conservation policies, this may have a negative impact on its economic growth. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:利用面板数据分析的最新进展,我们使用1975年至2012年的年度数据来调查海湾合作委员会国家的电力消耗与经济增长之间的关系。在考虑面板动态,异质性和横截面依赖性的框架下,我们结果表明,使用PMGE,性能下降的PMG,AMG,MGE和DFE模型获得的结果表明,电力消耗与经济增长之间存在长期的均衡关系。为了确定合适的模型并确定首选估计量,进行了Hausman检验。 PMGE模型成为三个估计器中效率最高的。此外,获得的结果表明,这些国家的经济增长与用电量之间存在双向因果关系,这支持了反馈假设。结果,这意味着,如果这些国家采取或实施任何能源或电力节约政策,则可能对其经济增长产生负面影响。 (C)2016 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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