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Integrated approach for the determination of an accurate wind-speed distribution model

机译:确定精确风速分布模型的综合方法

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The distribution model of wind-speed data is critical for the assessment of wind-energy potential because it reduces uncertainties in the estimation of wind power output. Thus, an accurate distribution model for describing wind-speed data should be determined before a detailed analysis of energy potential is conducted. In this study, information from several goodness-of-fit criteria, e.g., the R-2 coefficient, Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic, Akaike's information criterion, and deviation in skewness/kurtosis were integrated for the conclusive selection of the best-fit distribution model of wind-speed data. The proposed approach integrates standardized scores and subjects each criterion to multiplicative aggregation. The approach was applied in a case study to fit eight statistical distributions to hourly wind-speed data collected at two stations in Malaysia. The results showed that the proposed approach provides a good basis for the selection of the optimal wind-speed distribution model. Furthermore, graphical representations agreed with the analytical results.
机译:风速数据的分布模型对于评估风能潜力至关重要,因为它减少了估计风能输出的不确定性。因此,在进行详细的能量潜力分析之前,应确定用于描述风速数据的精确分布模型。在这项研究中,综合了来自多个拟合优度标准的信息,例如R-2系数,Kolmogorov-Smirnov统计量,Akaike信息标准以及偏度/峰度偏差,以最终确定最佳拟合分布模型。风速数据。所提出的方法集成了标准化的分数,并使每个标准服从乘法聚合。该方法在案例研究中得到了应用,以使八个统计分布适合马来西亚两个站点收集的每小时风速数据。结果表明,该方法为选择最优风速分布模型提供了良好的基础。此外,图形表示与分析结果一致。

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