Technological advances in semiconductor production are advancing faster than they can be predicted. The latest update to the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors (ITRS) was released in late November 2001 and continues to show "roadmap acceleration." For example, in 1999 the roadmap predicted transistor channel lengths would be 25 nm by 2013. The latest prediction is to achieve this channel length in 2007. This might mean that the already frightening predictions of packaging requirements will be exceeded by real parts in the coming years. Since 1992, the Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) has coordinated the effort to explore where semiconductor technology will be over the next 15 years, bringing together a consensus of more than 800 industry experts.
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