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Bagehot: Not yet airborne

机译:巴热特:尚未空降

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Disaster plays well at the box office. That is why so much recent political commentary has focused on the exciting attempts of Britain's battered Conservatives to choose a new leader. But here is a sobering thought for Conservatives as they make their exciting choice. They did so badly in the general election last month that, assuming no change in Britain's idiosyncratic electoral system, it would require a wholly unprecedented swing of more than 10% to give them a one-seat majority in the next general election. In other words, they can be fairly confident of being out of power for most of the rest of this decade. This makes their antics fascinating enough as anthropology, but of limited immediate relevance to most Britons.
机译:灾难在票房上表现良好。这就是为什么最近的许多政治评论都集中在英国饱受打击的保守党为选拔新领导人而进行的令人兴奋的尝试。但是,对于保守党做出令人振奋的选择,这是一个发人深省的想法。他们在上个月的大选中表现不佳,以至于假设英国特有的选举制度没有任何变化,那么它将需要前所未有的超过10%的空前变动,才能在下届大选中获得一席多数。换句话说,他们可以对本十年余下的大部分时间断电充满信心。这使他们的滑稽动作在人类学上引人入胜,但与大多数英国人的直接相关性有限。

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