Free exchange | Goldilocks nationalism

摘要

When Scotland turned down independence, it was bucking a trend. Since 1946 the number of sovereign states has soared, from 76 to 197 The steady shrinking of the world's political units raises the question of what the ideal size would be from an economic perspective. Separatists from Catalonia to the southern Philippines should be aware that a country's population, economists believe, has a big impact on all sorts of policies, from the level of government spending to its openness to trade. Separatists eyeing the exit have many motivations, but economics typically plays a big role in the choice to stay or go. In their book "The Size of Nations", Alberto Alesina and Enrico Spolaore lay out the costs and benefits of going it alone.* Scale has its advantages: bigger countries are easier to defend from foreign aggressors, for instance. When barriers to trade are high, a bigger domestic market allows for more internal specialisation. A 19th-century British prime minister is reported to have complained to a French ambassador, "If you were not such persistent protectionists, you would not find us so keen to annex territories!" America's size allowed it to develop new and highly productive forms of industry in the late 1800s, which Europe's smaller countries could not match until tariffs fell in the 20th century.