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机译：日本

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Recent data suggest that economic growth remained uneven in Q4 2016. Monthly trade data imply the recovery in exports in Q3 has continued, with volumes up 4% on the year in October-November. The elevated number of housing starts suggests that residential investment remained firm. But offsetting these positives is the likelihood that business investment contracted for the second consecutive quarter, with the latest Tankan pointing to lower investment intentions amid weaker operating profits. Meanwhile, the recent deceleration in real earnings growth and subdued consumer confidence will have weighed on household spending.

机译：最新数据表明，2016年第四季度经济增长仍然不平衡。月度贸易数据表明，第三季度出口仍在继续复苏，10月至11月的出口量同比增长4％。房屋开工数量的增加表明住宅投资保持坚挺。但是，抵消这些利好因素的是商业投资连续第二个季度收缩的可能性，最新的短观调查指出，在经营利润下降的情况下，投资意向较低。同时，最近实际收入增速的下降和消费者信心的减弱将给家庭支出造成压力。

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《Economic Outlook 》 |2017年第1期| 33-34| 共2页
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