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Gaussbock: Fast Parallel-iterative Cosmological Parameter Estimation with Bayesian Nonparametrics

机译:Gaussbock:与贝叶斯非参数的快速并行迭代宇宙学参数估算

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We present and apply Gaussbock, a new embarrassingly parallel iterative algorithm for cosmological parameter estimation designed for an era of cheap parallel-computing resources. Gaussbock uses Bayesian nonparametrics and truncated importance sampling to accurately draw samples from posterior distributions with an orders-of-magnitude speed-up in wall time over alternative methods. Contemporary problems in this area often suffer from both increased computational costs due to high-dimensional parameter spaces and consequent excessive time requirements, as well as the need to fine-tune proposal distributions or sampling parameters. Gaussbock is designed specifically with these issues in mind. We explore and validate the performance and convergence of the algorithm on a fast approximation to the Dark Energy Survey Year 1 (DES Y1) posterior, finding reasonable scaling behavior with the number of parameters. We then test on the full DES Y1 posterior using large-scale supercomputing facilities and recover reasonable agreement with previous chains, although the algorithm can underestimate the tails of poorly constrained parameters. Additionally, we discuss and demonstrate how Gaussbock recovers complex posterior shapes very well at lower dimensions, but faces challenges to perform well on such distributions in higher dimensions. In addition, we provide the community with a user-friendly software tool for accelerated cosmological parameter estimation based on the methodology described in this paper.
机译:我们展示并应用了Gaussbock,这是一种新的令人尴尬的并联迭代算法,用于宇宙学参数估计,专为便宜的并行计算资源的时代。 Gaussbock使用贝叶斯非参数,并截断了重要性采样,以准确地将样品从后部分布绘制样品,并在替代方法中以​​墙壁时间加速。由于高维参数空间,这一领域的当代问题往往遭受增加的计算成本,并且随之而来的过度时间要求,以及需要微调提案分布或采样参数。 Gaussbock专门设计了这些问题。我们探索并验证算法对暗量近似的算法的性能和收敛性,并在后面的暗读第1年(DES Y1),找到了具有参数数量的合理缩放行为。然后,我们使用大规模超级计算设施测试全面的DES Y1后部,并与先前的链接恢复合理的协议,尽管该算法可以低估受限制的参数差的尾部。此外,我们讨论并展示高斯巴克在较低尺寸下非常良好地恢复复杂的后形状,但面临挑战在更高尺寸的这种分布上表现出良好的挑战。此外,我们为社区提供了一种基于本文中描述的方法的加速宇宙学参数估计的用户友好的软件工具。

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