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Multi-energy load forecasting model based on bi-directional gated recurrent unit multi-task neural network

机译:基于双向门控复发单位多任务神经网络的多能量负荷预测模型

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The complex coupling, coordination and complementarity of different energy in the integrated energy system puts forward higher requirements for the technology of multi-energy load forecasting. To this end, this paper proposes a novel multi-energy load forecasting model based on bi-directional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU) multi-task neural network. Firstly, through the correlation analysis, an effective multi-energy load input data set is constructed. Secondly, the input data set is utilized to train the BiGRU and master the evolution laws of multi-energy loads. Then, multi-task learning (MTL) is used to share the information learned by BiGRU from perspectives of different load forecasting tasks, so as to fully dig the coupling relations among various energy loads. Finally, different types of load forecasting results can be obtained. Simulation results show that BiGRU can simultaneously consider the known data of the past and the future, and it can learn more characteristic information effectively. At the same time, the proposed model utilizes MTL to carry out parallel learning and information sharing for forecasting tasks of various energy loads, which can dig the complex coupling relations among different types of loads more deeply, thus improving the forecasting accuracy of multi-energy loads.
机译:综合能源系统中不同能量的复杂耦合,协调和互补性对多能量负荷预测技术提出了更高的要求。为此,本文提出了一种基于双向门控复发单元(BIGRU)多任务神经网络的新型多能量负荷预测模型。首先,通过相关性分析,构造有效的多能量负载输入数据集。其次,输入数据集用于培训Bigru并掌握多能量负载的演化定律。然后,使用多任务学习(MTL)来利用来自不同负载预测任务的透视图的Bigru学习的信息,以便完全挖掘各种能量负载之间的耦合关系。最后,可以获得不同类型的负载预测结果。仿真结果表明,Bigru可以同时考虑过去和未来的已知数据,它可以有效地学到更多特征信息。同时,该模型利用MTL进行平行学习和信息共享,用于预测各种能量负荷的任务,这可以更深入地挖掘不同类型的负载之间的复杂耦合关系,从而提高了多能量的预测精度负载。

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