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Coupled Dynamic Model of Resource Diffusion and Epidemic Spreading in Time-Varying Multiplex Networks

机译:耦合动态模型的时变多路复用网络中资源扩散与疫情

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In the real world, individual resources are crucial for patients when epidemics outbreak. Thus, the coupled dynamics of resource diffusion and epidemic spreading have been widely investigated when the recovery of diseases significantly depends on the resources from neighbors in static social networks. However, the social relationships of individuals are time-varying, which affects such coupled dynamics. For that, we propose a coupled resource-epidemic (RNR-SIS) dynamic model (coupled model for short) on a time-varying multiplex network to synchronously simulate the resource diffusion and epidemic spreading in dynamic social networks. The equilibrium analysis of the coupled model is conducted in a general scenario where the resource generation varies between susceptible and infected states and the recovery rate changes between resourceful and noresource states. By using the microscopic Markov chain approach and Monte Carlo simulations, we determine a probabilistic framework of the intralayer and interlayer dynamic processes of the coupled model and obtain the outbreak threshold of epidemic spreading. Meanwhile, the experimental results show the trivially asymmetric interactions between resource diffusion and epidemic spreading. They also indicate that the stronger activity heterogeneity and the larger contact capacity of individuals in the resource layer can more greatly promote resource diffusion, effectively suppressing epidemic spreading. However, these two individual characters in the epidemic layer can cause more resource depletion, which greatly promotes epidemic spreading. Furthermore, we also find that the contact capacity finitely impacts the coupled dynamics of resource diffusion and epidemic spreading.
机译:在现实世界中,当流行病爆发时,个人资源对于患者至关重要。因此,当疾病的恢复显着取决于静态社交网络中邻居的资源时,资源扩散和疫情扩散的耦合动态已被广泛研究。然而,个人的社会关系是时变的,这影响了这种耦合动态。为此,我们在时变多路复用网络上提出了一种耦合的资源 - 流行病(RNR-SIS)动态模型(耦合模型),以同步模拟动态社交网络中的资源扩散和疫情。耦合模型的平衡分析在一般情况下进行,其中资源生成在易感和受感染状态之间变化,并且恢复速率在高度资源和非源状态之间变化。通过使用微观马尔可夫链方法和蒙特卡罗模拟,我们确定耦合模型的内部内和中间层动态过程的概率框架,并获得了流行病蔓延的爆发阈值。同时,实验结果表明资源扩散与疫情蔓延之间的历史不对称相互作用。他们还表明,资源层中较强的活性异质性和较大的接触能力可以更大地促进资源扩散,有效地抑制流行病蔓延。然而,疫情层中的这两个个体角色会导致更多资源耗尽,这极大地促进了疫情传播。此外,我们还发现接触容量有限地影响资源扩散和流行蔓延的耦合动态。

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