Forecasting GDP based on the assessment of cyberspace development

摘要

The relevance of the topic is due to the fact that an operational assessment of the dynamics of the main macroeconomic variables, including GDP, is a prerequisite for an effective economic policy. This work substantiates the consideration of the technological level of development of cyberspace as a predictor of the current dynamics of GDP along with data from official statistics. The scientific significance of the study: the relationship between the dynamics of the development of cyberspace and the dynamics of changes in the volume of GDP is revealed, which allows us to predict changes in the volumes of GDP, as well as the dynamics of changes in world capital, taking into account the various stages of development of national economies; statistical relationship between the influx of investment in fixed assets and the growth rate of GDP is identified.