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Electricity Load Forecasting Using Support Vector Regression with Memetic Algorithms

机译:用支持向量回归与迭代算法的电力负荷预测

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Electricity load forecasting is an important issue that is widely explored and examined in power systems operation literature and commercial transactions in electricity markets literature as well. Among the existing forecasting models, support vector regression (SVR) has gained much attention. Considering the performance of SVR highly depends on its parameters; this study proposed a firefly algorithm (FA) based memetic algorithm (FA-MA) to appropriately determine the parameters of SVR forecasting model. In the proposed FA-MA algorithm, the FA algorithm is applied to explore the solution space, and the pattern search is used to conduct individual learning and thus enhance the exploitation of FA. Experimental results confirm that the proposed FA-MA based SVR model can not only yield more accurate forecasting results than the other four evolutionary algorithms based SVR models and three well-known forecasting models but also outperform the hybrid algorithms in the related existing literature.
机译:电力负荷预测是在电力系统运营文献和电力市场文献中的商业交易中广泛探索和检查的一个重要问题。在现有的预测模型中,支持向量回归(SVR)获得了很多关注。考虑到SVR的性能高度取决于其参数;本研究提出了一种基于萤火虫算法(FA)的麦克算法(FA-MA),以适当地确定SVR预测模型的参数。在提出的FA-MA算法中,应用FA算法来探索解决方案空间,并且模式搜索用于进行单独的学习,从而增强FA的开发。实验结果证实,所提出的FA-MA基于SVR模型不能产生比其他四种进化算法的SVR模型和三种众所周知的预测模型产生更准确的预测结果,但也优于相关现有文献中的混合算法。

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