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Regional analysis of wind velocity patterns in complex terrain

机译:复杂地形中风速模式的区域分析

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Wind energy is a weather and climate-dependent energy resource with natural spatio-temporal variabilities at time scales ranging from fraction of seconds to seasons and years, while at spatial scales it is strongly affected by the terrain and vegetation. To optimize wind energy systems and maximize the energy extraction, wind measurements on various time scales as well as wind energy forecasts are required and needed. This study focuses on spatio-temporal characteristics of the wind velocity in complex terrain, relevant to wind energy assessment, operation, and grid integration, using data collected at 11 towers ranging from 40 to 80 m tall over a 12-year period in complex terrain of western-central and northern Nevada, USA. The autocorrelation analysis, Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) and Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (DCCA) showed strong coherence between the wind speed and direction with slowly decreasing amplitude of the multi-day periodicity with increasing lag periods. Besides pronounced diurnal periodicity at all locations, statistical analysis and DFA also showed significant seasonal and annual periodicities, long-memory persistence with similar characteristics at all sites and towers with a relatively narrow range of the Weibull parameters. The DCCA indicates similar wind patterns at each tower, and strong correlations between measurement sites in spite of separations of about 300 km across the towers’ setup. The northern Nevada area exhibits higher wind resource potential and higher wind persis-tence compared to the western-central region. Overall, the DFA and DCCA results suggest higher degree of complementarity among wind data at measure-ment sites compared to previous standard statistical analysis.
机译:风能是天气和气候依赖的能源,在时间尺度范围内的自然时空变量,从几秒钟到季节和年来,而在空间尺度上,它受到地形和植被的强烈影响。为了优化风能系统并最大限度地提取能量提取,需要在各种时间尺度以及需要风能预测上的风测量。本研究侧重于复杂地形中风速的时空特征,与风能评估,操作和网格集成相关,使用11座塔楼收集的数据在复杂地形中的12年期间40至80米高美国西部和内华达州北部。自相关分析,减法的波动分析(DFA)和脱互相关分析(DCCA)在风速和方向与增加滞后周期的多日周期的幅度缓慢降低的方向之间表现出强烈的相干性。除了在所有地点发出昼夜周期性之外,统计分析和DFA还表现出显着的季节性和年度周期,长记忆持久性,在所有地点和塔的相似特征,具有相对较窄的Weibull参数范围。 DCCA表示每个塔上的类似风图案,并且测量部位之间的强关系,尽管塔的设置约为300公里。与西部 - 中部地区相比,内华达州地区北部风力资源潜力和较高的风神经膜梗阻。总体而言,与以前的标准统计分析相比,DFA和DCCA结果表明,在测量部位的风数据中提出了更高程度的互补性。

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