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Stability of a Nonlinear Stochastic Epidemic Model with Transfer from Infectious to Susceptible

机译:非线性随机流行病模型的稳定性转移传染易感性

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摘要

We investigate a stochastic SIRS model with transfer from infectious to susceptible and nonlinear incidence rate. First, using stochastic stability theory, we discuss stochastic asymptotic stability of disease-free equilibrium of this model. Moreover, if the transfer rate from infectious to susceptible is sufficiently large, disease goes extinct. Then, we obtain almost surely exponential stability of disease-free equilibrium, which implies that noises can lead to extinction of disease. By the Lyapunov method, we give conditions to ensure that the solution of this model fluctuates around endemic equilibrium of the corresponding deterministic model in average time. Furthermore, numerical simulations show that the fluctuation increases with increase in noise intensity. Finally, these theoretical results are verified by numerical simulations. Hence, noises play a vital role in epidemic transmission. Our results improve and extend previous related results.
机译:我们调查了随机SIRS模型,随着传染性转移到易感和非线性发生率。首先,使用随机稳定性理论,我们讨论这种模型的无病平衡的随机渐近稳定性。此外,如果感染性易感的转移率足够大,疾病灭绝了。然后,我们获得几乎肯定的无疾病平衡的指数稳定性,这意味着噪音可能导致疾病的灭绝。通过Lyapunov方法,我们提供了条件,以确保该模型的解决方案平均平均相应的确定性模型的流动性平衡波动。此外,数值模拟表明波动随着噪声强度的增加而增加。最后,通过数值模拟验证了这些理论结果。因此,噪音在疫情传播中发挥着重要作用。我们的结果改善并扩展了先前的相关结果。

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