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The Impact of Heterogeneity and Awareness in Modeling Epidemic Spreading on Multiplex Networks

机译:异质性和意识对多路复用网络对疫情建模的影响

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In the real world, dynamic processes involving human beings are not disjoint. To capture the real complexity of such dynamics, we propose a novel model of the coevolution of epidemic and awareness spreading processes on a multiplex network, also introducing a preventive isolation strategy. Our aim is to evaluate and quantify the joint impact of heterogeneity and awareness, under different socioeconomic conditions. Considering, as case study, an emerging public health threat, Zika virus, we introduce a data-driven analysis by exploiting multiple sources and different types of data, ranging from Big Five personality traits to Google Trends, related to different world countries where there is an ongoing epidemic outbreak. Our findings demonstrate how the proposed model allows delaying the epidemic outbreak and increasing the resilience of nodes, especially under critical economic conditions. Simulation results, using data-driven approach on Zika virus, which has a growing scientific research interest, are coherent with the proposed analytic model.
机译:在现实世界中,涉及人类的动态过程并不脱节。为了捕捉这种动态的真正复杂性,我们提出了一种新型模型的多路复用网络对流行病和意识扩展过程的共同型号,也引入了预防性隔离策略。我们的目标是评估和量化异质性和意识的联合影响,在不同的社会经济条件下。考虑到,如案例研究,新兴的公共卫生威胁,Zika病毒,我们通过利用多种来源和不同类型的数据来引入数据驱动的分析,从五个人格特征到谷歌趋势,与不同的世界国家相关正在进行的流行病爆发。我们的研究结果表明,拟议的模型如何允许延迟流行病爆发并增加节点的弹性,特别是在关键的经济条件下。仿真结果,利用Zika病毒的数据驱动方法,具有越来越多的科学研究兴趣,与所提出的分析模型相干。

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