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Demand forecasting for manufacturing under Z-Information

机译:Z信息下的制造业需求预测

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Achieving profitability of the manufacturing sector in today’s business environment is directly related to accurate forecasting of demand products to satisfy the market. It is very important for business manager to plan resources, employees, production capacity etc. Demand forecasting provides a sense of directions that helps managers to make better decisions in many aspects of business. Prediction of demand almost is performed in face of uncertainty. Unfortunately, in existing studies demand prediction is considered on base of deterministic relationship between values of demand and independent variables as price and other input parameters. In some studies these relationship is extended to statistical and fuzzy information. Unfortunately, in these works reliability of information is not taken into consideration that leads to loss of information in obtained results. In this paper we investigate the problem of demand forecasting for manufacturing under information with partial reliability, namely Z–environment. Forecasting model is based on new approach – Z regression model.
机译:在当今的商业环境中实现制造业的盈利能力与准确预测需求产品以满足市场需求直接相关。对业务经理来说,计划资源,员工,生产能力等非常重要。需求预测提供了一种方向感,可以帮助经理在业务的许多方面做出更好的决策。需求预测几乎是在不确定的情况下进行的。不幸的是,在现有研究中,需求预测是基于需求值与作为价格和其他输入参数的自变量之间的确定性关系来考虑的。在某些研究中,这些关系扩展到统计信息和模糊信息。不幸的是,在这些作品中,没有考虑信息的可靠性,这导致了所获得的结果中信息的丢失。在本文中,我们研究了在具有部分可靠性的信息(即Z环境)下制造的需求预测问题。预测模型基于新方法– Z回归模型。

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