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Monte Carlo Method Application for Environmental Risks Impact Assessment in Investment Projects

机译:蒙特卡罗方法在投资项目环境风险影响评价中的应用

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The paper highlights some of the results of the feasibility study of an investment project in an energy company in Romania. One of the objectives of this study was to determine in which extent the technical and economic objectives of the investment can be attained in a context heavily influenced by various risks, including environmental risks. The results of this study showed that the integration of a multi-iterative analysis based on Monte Carlo method allowed the determination of the degree of uncertainty in achieving the proposed safety performance indicators, which has had a positive impact on project objectives.
机译:本文重点介绍了罗马尼亚一家能源公司的投资项目可行性研究的一些结果。这项研究的目标之一是确定在很大程度上受各种风险(包括环境风险)影响的情况下,可以在多大程度上实现投资的技术和经济目标。这项研究的结果表明,基于蒙特卡洛方法的多次迭代分析的集成可以确定实现拟议的安全绩效指标的不确定性程度,这对项目目标产生了积极影响。

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