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Empirical Analysis on the Influencing Factors of Shanghai Residents’ Tourism Consumption Level

机译:上海居民旅游消费水平影响因素的实证分析

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In recent years, with the economic level of our country and the continuous development of people’s consumption concept, residents’ tourism consumption has become a popular trend of consumption. This paper is based on the tourism consumption related data of Shanghai residents in 1996-2015, selecting four main influencing factors of Shanghai third industry gross product, consumer price index, Engel coefficient and traffic cost. Through the establishment of econometric model, the paper didi Multiple linear regression analysis of OLS using R software, getting the estimation of the corresponding parameters. Then for the model, the paper did Multiple collinear test, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation test and correction. Finally, the conclusion is obtained according to the revised model. By studying the characteristics of tourism consumption level and related data, we find that the third industry gross output and Engel coefficient of Shanghai have a significant impact on the consumption level of Shanghai residents. In order to make some contributions to the economic development of our country, we put forward some countermeasures and suggestions on the development of Shanghai’s tourism.
机译:近年来,随着我国经济水平的提高和人们消费观念的不断发展,居民的旅游消费已成为一种流行的消费趋势。本文基于1996-2015年上海市居民旅游消费相关数据,选择了影响上海第三产业生产总值,居民消费价格指数,恩格尔系数和交通成本的四个主要影响因素。通过建立计量经济学模型,利用R软件对OLS进行了多元线性回归分析,得到了相应参数的估计值。然后对该模型进行了多重共线检验,异方差性和自相关检验及校正。最后,根据修正后的模型得出结论。通过研究旅游消费水平的特征和相关数据,我们发现上海第三产业的总产值和恩格尔系数对上海居民的消费水平有显着影响。为了对我国的经济发展做出贡献,我们对上海旅游业的发展提出了对策和建议。

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