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Travel decision reversals paradox of competitive metro lines: The Equate-to-differentiate Theory Interpretation

机译:竞争性地铁线路的出行决策逆转悖论:均等化理论解释

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摘要

Based on the equate-to-differentiate theory, this paper studies the paradox of preference reversal and choice reversal in traffic decision-making in parallel sections of Chengdu Metro Line No.2 and No.4. Travel decision reversals: preference reversals phenomenon (PRP) and choice reversals phenomenon (CRP) are found in the travel investigation for Chengdu Metro Line No.2 and No.4, and the reversals cannot be well explained by random error. Through experimental design of cautious control, the existence of these phenomena is confirmed. This paper establishes the judgment dimension system of option attributes, and designs three groups of psychological experiment in certain, uncertain and risk scenarios. Data analysis shows that PRP and CRP can be explained by the equate-to-differentiate interpretation. The phenomena of reversal are not due to the fact that preference and choice really reverses, but the variable strategic process. The equate-to-differentiate interpretation shows good consistency in the experiments and can predict and explain the preference and choice reversal of travel decision. At last, a comparative analysis which compares the results of the two models of the decision field theory is made and finally the conclusion is obtained.
机译:基于等值差分理论,研究了成都地铁2号,4号线平行段交通决策中的偏好逆转与选择逆转的悖论。出行决策逆转:成都地铁2号,4号线出行调查中发现了偏好逆转现象(PRP)和选择逆转现象(CRP),这种逆转不能由随机误差很好地解释。通过谨慎控制的实验设计,证实了这些现象的存在。本文建立了期权属性的判断维度系统,并设计了三组在一定,不确定和风险情形下的心理实验。数据分析表明,PRP和CRP可以用等差解释来解释。逆转现象不是由于偏好和选择确实逆转这一事实,而是由于可变的战略过程。等价于差异的解释在实验中显示出良好的一致性,并且可以预测和解释旅行决策的偏好和选择逆转。最后,进行了比较分析,比较了两种决策场理论模型的结果,最后得出结论。

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