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Impact Velocity Prediction in a Traffic Accident

机译:交通事故中的碰撞速度预测

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Reconstruction of traffic accidents has been so crucial scientific process in order to make impartial and judicious decisions. This study focuses on impact speed prediction of accident sufferers just before the collision in a comprehensive scientific way by using an accident reconstruction software called “vCrash” and Function Fitting Neural Network (FITNET) artificial intelligence method (predictor) in case of absence of skid marks or other clues about calculating impact speeds. A sample real world accident was simulated on the software several times by changing collision speeds to form different deformation on the collision regions of the vehicles in every simulation. Every single deformation amount corresponding to each impact velocity was recorded and used as teaching data for FITNET prediction model. Using 10-fold cross validation, mean squared error (MSE) and multiple correlation coefficients (R) were observed to exhibit performance of the prediction model. The model performed high R (close to 1) and acceptable MSE values. This method aims that, in a probable similar accident scene in future, it will be possible to analyze the impact speeds just by entering average deformation amounts into an application on a portable device at the accident scene without requirement of expensive reconstruction tools and it will be a guide for analysis of other accident types.
机译:为了做出公正而明智的决定,交通事故的重建一直是至关重要的科学过程。这项研究的重点是通过使用名为“ vCrash”的事故重建软件和功能拟合神经网络(FITNET)人工智能方法(预测器),以在没有滑痕的情况下以一种综合的科学方式预测事故发生前受害者的撞击速度。或其他有关计算撞击速度的线索。在每次模拟中,通过更改碰撞速度在车辆的碰撞区域上形成不同的变形,从而在软件上多次模拟了示例现实世界中的事故。记录对应于每个冲击速度的每个单个变形量,并将其用作FITNET预测模型的教学数据。使用10倍交叉验证,观察到均方误差(MSE)和多个相关系数(R),以展现预测模型的性能。该模型执行了较高的R(接近1)和可接受的MSE值。该方法的目的是,在将来可能发生的类似事故现场中,仅通过将平均变形量输入事故现场便携式设备上的应用程序中,而无需使用昂贵的重建工具,就可以分析撞击速度。分析其他事故类型的指南。

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