Impact of wind turbines reliability models on the power generation system reliability

摘要

In this paper we describe the methodology of determining the reliability indices for power generating subsystem. We analyse then influence of the considered wind power plant reliability modelling on system reliability. The proposed reliability model of wind power plant is two-state model as compromise between calculation time and accuracy. We have found an empirical relationship between the power system reliability index LOLE (Loss of Load Expectation) and reserve capacity margin for a given wind share. This allowed us to estimate the required minimal reserve capacity margin for a given level of power system security and for a known structure of system installed capacity.