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Meningococcal meningitis in Mali: a long-term study of persistence and spread

机译:马里的脑膜炎球菌性脑膜炎:持久性和扩散的长期研究

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SummaryObjectives Meningococcal meningitis (MM) is still a huge threat in the African meningitis belt. To fight against epidemics, a strengthened health information system, based upon weekly collected data, was set up in Mali. We aimed to study the spatio-temporal dynamics of MM in this country between 1992 and 2003.Methods We were first interested in the impact of population size on the disease persistence. We then used cross-correlation analysis to study the spread of the disease on three different spatial scales, i.e., inter-region (global) and inter-district and intra-district (local) levels.Results We found no persistence of MM at district level in Mali during the whole of the study period. However, we found persistence on a nationwide scale after the 1997 big epidemics, as opposed to the 1992-1996 time periods. In terms of spread, two main regions seem to lead MM dynamics in Mali, even if on a local scale the [`]cities-villages' diffusion pattern was not systematically observed.Conclusions This study improves knowledge on the spread and persistence of MM in Mali in recent years. It constitutes a first spatial study describing persistence and spread of MM in an African meningitis belt country. The next step should be the integration of vaccination and genetic variability data to clarify the route of spread of the disease in the human population.
机译:概述目的脑膜炎球菌性脑膜炎(MM)仍然是非洲脑膜炎带的巨大威胁。为了与流行病作斗争,在马里建立了以每周收集的数据为基础的加强卫生信息系统。我们旨在研究该国1992年至2003年间MM的时空动态。方法我们首先对人口规模对疾病持续性的影响感兴趣。然后,我们使用互相关分析来研究疾病在三个不同空间尺度上的传播,即区域间(全局)水平,区域间和区域内水平(局部)水平。结果我们发现在地区没有MM的持久性在整个研究期间,马里的水平面保持不变。但是,我们发现,在1997年大流行之后,与1992-1996年时期相比,在全国范围内持续存在。就传播而言,马里的两个主要区域似乎主导着MM的动态,即使在局部规模上没有系统地观察到城市村庄的扩散模式。结论本研究提高了人们对MM传播和持久性的认识。近年来的马里。它构成了第一个空间研究,描述了在非洲脑膜炎带国家中MM的持续存在和扩散。下一步应该是接种疫苗和遗传变异数据的整合,以阐明该疾病在人群中的传播途径。

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