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Multiplier and Accelerator Effects of Investments in the Russian Economy (Facts, Trends and Prospects)

机译:俄罗斯经济投资的乘数效应和加速效应(事实,趋势和前景)

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Background/Objectives: The article describes the peculiarities of multiplier and accelerator effects in the Russian economy at different stages of its historical development. Methods/Statistical Analysis: The research of the specifics of multiplier and accelerator effects of investments in the Russian economy is based on the historical and genetic approach. The methodological base of the research consists mainly of dialectical principles. During studies, the authors used a regression analysis as a main tool for studying relations between economic variables and an indicative analysis enabling to estimate the potential danger, to make quantitative assessment of the crisis. Findings: The authors have built a regression model which reflects both: Changes occurred in the investment mechanism in the 1990s and their impact on the cumulative process in the post-Soviet economy. The causes and negative consequences of low investment activity in Russia have been identified. The well-founded conclusion has been made about the futility and harmfulness of raw materials export model for the further development of the country due to its inability to utilize the potential of the stimulating effect of the “cumulative demand” (consumer and investment one) factor. Application/Improvements: Proposals have been made regarding the intensification of the investment activity in the Russian economy, as well as the activation of hyper-cumulative process combining the accelerator and multiplier effects.
机译:背景/目的:本文介绍了俄罗斯经济在其历史发展的不同阶段中乘数效应和加速器效应的特殊性。方法/统计分析:基于历史和遗传方法,对俄罗斯经济中投资的乘数和加速器效应的细节进行研究。研究的方法论基础主要包括辩证原理。在研究过程中,作者使用回归分析作为研究经济变量之间关系的主要工具,并使用指示性分析来估计潜在危险,从而对危机进行定量评估。结果:作者建立了一个回归模型,该模型反映了以下两个方面:1990年代投资机制发生的变化及其对后苏联经济累积过程的影响。已经确定了俄罗斯低投资活动的原因和负面后果。由于无法利用“累积需求”(消费和投资合一)刺激因素的潜力,对国家进一步发展的原材料出口模式的无用性和有害性得出了有充分根据的结论。 。应用/改进:已提出有关在俄罗斯经济中加强投资活动以及激活结合加速器和乘数效应的超累积过程的建议。

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