Projection of Life Expectancy at Birth of Malaysian Population: A Modelling Approach

摘要

The purpose of this study is to project life expectancies (LEs) by sexes and ethnic groups forMalaysia. The secondary data of LE by sex and ethnic groups for Malaysia were extractedfrom the Department of Statistics, Government of Malaysia. The exponential growth modelwas employed to fulfill the objective. Projections of LEs for male and female of Malaysia byethnicity were estimated by using exponential growth model for the years 2014-2050. Thestudy investigated that the LEs for male and female of Malaysia by ethnicity are showingincreasing trend. Results revealed that LEs for the female is greater than that of the malefor each ethnic group. The projected LEs for male and female of Malaysia in 2050 would be79.13 and 84.05 years, respectively. The population of Malaysia will tend to live long. TheGovernment should have clear information about the number of elderly populationensuring their healthy environment.