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Recovering Historical Inflation Data from Postage Stamps Prices

机译:从邮票价格中恢复历史通货膨胀数据

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For many developing countries, historical inflation figures are rarely available. We propose a simple method that aims to recover such figures of inflation using prices of postage stamps issued in earlier years. We illustrate our method for Suriname, where annual inflation rates are available for 1961 until 2015, and where fluctuations in inflation rates are prominent. We estimate the inflation rates for the sample 1873 to 1960. Our main finding is that high inflation periods usually last no longer than 2 or 3 years. An Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (EGARCH) model for the recent sample and for the full sample with the recovered inflation rates shows the relevance of adding the recovered data.
机译:对于许多发展中国家而言,很少有历史通货膨胀数据。我们提出了一种简单的方法,旨在使用早期发行的邮票的价格来恢复此类通货膨胀率。我们举例说明了苏里南的方法,该国的通货膨胀率可用于1961年至2015年,且通货膨胀率的波动非常明显。我们估计样本1873年至1960年的通货膨胀率。我们的主要发现是,高通货膨胀时期通常持续不超过2或3年。对于最近的样本和具有已恢复的通货膨胀率的完整样本,指数广义自回归条件异方差(EGARCH)模型显示了添加已恢复数据的相关性。

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