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Analysis of Horticultural Production Trends in Botswana

机译:博茨瓦纳的园艺生产趋势分析

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An analysis of vegetable and fruit production trends in Botswana was carried out focussing on 1997 to 2009 cropping years. For vegetable production the results showed an increase in yield and total production from 1997 to 2009. The area planted with vegetables accounted for only 3% of variation in yield indicating that the area planted with vegetables had no significant effect on yield during that period. The national demands for vegetables increased from 1997 to 2009, but imports started to decline in 2001. Regression analysis showed a significant decline in imports as total production increased. Total production accounted for more than 50% of variation in imports indicating that a significant proportion of national demand was met by local production. Total fruit production increased from 3000 to over 9000 tons from 2003 to 2008 but declined in 2009. Yield increased twofold from 2003 to 2005 but declined by more than 50% at the end of 2009. Regression analysis showed a significant decrease in yield as area planted increased; indicating a decrease in productivity. The national fruit production was surpassed by demand during 2003 to 2009 revealing a deficit in fruit production. The total imports of fruits declined significantly as total production increased suggesting that some of the demands for fruits were catered for by local production. These results suggest that famers need to be trained on good management of crops so that productivity can increase with increase in area planted to horticultural crops.
机译:分析了博茨瓦纳蔬菜和水果的生产趋势,重点是1997年至2009年的作物年度。对于蔬菜生产,结果表明,从1997年到2009年,产量和总产量均有所增加。蔬菜种植面积仅占产量变化的3%,这表明蔬菜种植面积在此期间对产量没有显着影响。从1997年到2009年,全国对蔬菜的需求量有所增加,但2001年的进口量开始下降。回归分析显示,随着总产量的增加,进口量显着下降。总产量占进口变化的50%以上,这表明本地生产满足了很大一部分国家需求。从2003年到2008年,水果总产量从3000吨增加到9000多吨,但在2009年下降。从2003年到2005年,单产增加了两倍,但到2009年底下降了50%以上。回归分析显示,种植面积导致单产显着下降增加;表示生产率下降。 2003年至2009年,全国水果产量超过需求,表明水果产量出现短缺。水果的总进口量随着总产量的增加而显着下降,这表明水果的一些需求是由当地生产来满足的。这些结果表明,农民必须接受有关作物良好管理方面的培训,以使生产力能够随着种植园艺作物的面积的增加而增加。

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