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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of King Saud University >Earthquakes magnitude predication using artificial neural network in northern Red Sea area
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Earthquakes magnitude predication using artificial neural network in northern Red Sea area

机译:基于人工神经网络的红海北部地震震级预测

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摘要

Since early ages, people tried to predicate earthquakes using simple observations such as strange or atypical animal behavior. In this paper, we study data collected from past earthquakes to give better forecasting for coming earthquakes. We propose the application of artificial intelligent predication system based on artificial neural network which can be used to predicate the magnitude of future earthquakes in northern Red Sea area including the Sinai Peninsula, the Gulf of Aqaba, and the Gulf of Suez. We present performance evaluation for different configurations and neural network structures that show prediction accuracy compared to other methods. The proposed scheme is built based on feed forward neural network model with multi-hidden layers. The model consists of four phases: data acquisition, pre-processing, feature extraction and neural network training and testing. In this study the neural network model provides higher forecast accuracy than other proposed methods. Neural network model is at least 32% better than other methods. This is due to that neural network is capable to capture non-linear relationship than statistical methods and other proposed methods.
机译:从很小的时候开始,人们就试图通过简单的观察来预测地震,例如奇怪或非典型的动物行为。在本文中,我们将研究从过去的地震中收集的数据,以更好地预测未来的地震。我们提出了基于人工神经网络的人工智能预测系统的应用,该系统可用于预测包括西奈半岛,亚喀巴湾和苏伊士湾在内的红海北部地区未来的地震规模。我们提出了针对不同配置和神经网络结构的性能评估,与其他方法相比,这些性能显示了预测准确性。所提出的方案是基于前馈神经网络模型的多层隐藏而构建的。该模型包括四个阶段:数据获取,预处理,特征提取以及神经网络训练和测试。在这项研究中,神经网络模型提供了比其他建议方法更高的预测准确性。神经网络模型比其他方法至少好32%。这是因为与统计方法和其他建议方法相比,神经网络能够捕获非线性关系。

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