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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development >Examining the Relationship between Federal Government of Nigeria’s Revenue and Expenditure Profiles
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Examining the Relationship between Federal Government of Nigeria’s Revenue and Expenditure Profiles

机译:检查尼日利亚联邦政府的收入与支出状况之间的关系

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This paper examines the relationship between federal government of Nigeria’s revenue and expenditure profile for the period 1970 to 2011. With the aid of E-view statistical package - version 7.0, granger causality tests were carried out on a time series data and to avert the emergence of spurious results, unit root tests were conducted. Other econometric advances of co- integration test and descriptive statistics were deployed to ascertain the order of co- integration and the level of relationships. Outcome of study provides us with mixed results. First, there is a significant unidirectional causal movement from expenditures to revenues for 4 of the 8 revenue–expenditure pairs. This represents an average level of adherence to the Spend -Revenue hypothesis. Second, a significant bidirectional causal effect exists between 4 of the 8 receipt –expenditure pairs. This also indicates that Revenue –Expenditure relationship at the federal level of government in Nigeria finds prevalence in the fiscal synchronization hypothesis. It was ascertained that, ratio of Nigeria’s oil revenue to her federally collected revenue stood at 81%., while that of non –oil accounted for 19% of the total. That is a clear manifestation of her age’s long dependence on crude oil exports. It was equally noted that, the ratio of federal government’s retained revenue to her federally collected revenue stood at about 39%. A functional classification of the expenditure profile reveals that outlays on recurrent expenditure accounted for about 68% of total expenditure, while the remaining balance of 32 % went to capital expenditure. That is certainly not good enough for a nation that is aspiring to grow. A further classification of the expenditure profile indicates that outlays on Administrative services accounted for 33% of the total, economic services 22%, Social and community services 15% and transfers 30%. The indications are rife that, the administration sector and external debt service transfers attracted more than their fare share of public expenditure to the detriment of the economic and social / community welfare sectors. The implication is that directly productive activities such as agriculture, industry and commerce, construction, transport and communication, education, health services and environmental development were relatively underfunded as compared to defense, internal security, general administration and external debt servicing. From the foregoing analysis, it has become imperative that changes must occur in the expenditure structure of federal government of Nigeria, in order to enhance the effectiveness of her fiscal policy instruments and to achieve set goals and objectives. There is therefore the need for a policy shift from the present protective-sectors-dominance to productive- sectors –dominance. The study recommends that as government plans, budgets and implements her expenditure decisions; she should be mindful of her overall level of revenue accruals; set priorities for its allocation and to ensure quality within each of the expenditure categories. These calls for fiscal planning whose primary goals should be to forecast and to take cognizance of resource constraints and the linkages it spurs within the larger economy Keywords: Total Revenue, Retained Revenue, Recurrent Expenditure, Capital Expenditure, Total Expenditure, Fiscal Deficits.
机译:本文研究了1970年至2011年尼日利亚联邦政府收入与支出状况之间的关系。借助E-view统计软件包(版本7.0),对时间序列数据进行了格兰杰因果关系检验,以避免出现这种情况。对于伪造的结果,进行了单位根检验。运用了协整测试和描述性统计的其他计量经济学进展,以确定协整的顺序和关系的水平。研究结果为我们提供了不同的结果。首先,在8个收支对中,有4个从支出到收入的显着的因果关系移动。这表示遵守支出假设的平均水平。其次,在八对收支之间,存在显着的双向因果关系。这也表明尼日利亚联邦政府一级的收支关系在财政同步假设中很普遍。可以确定的是,尼日利亚的石油收入与联邦政府收入的比率为81%,而非石油收入占总数的19%。这清楚地表明了她年龄对原油出口的长期依赖。同样值得注意的是,联邦政府的保留收入与联邦政府收取的收入之比约为39%。从支出概况的功能分类来看,经常性支出占总支出的约68%,而余额的32%用于资本支出。对于一个渴望发展的国家来说,这当然还不够好。支出概况的进一步分类表明,行政服务支出占总额的33%,经济服务占22%,社会和社区服务占15%,转移支付占30%。种种迹象表明,行政部门和外债偿还转移所吸引的收益超过其公共支出的份额,从而损害了经济,社会/社区福利部门。这意味着,与国防,内部安全,总务和外债服务相比,农业,工商业,建筑,运输和通讯,教育,卫生服务和环境发展等直接生产活动的资金相对不足。根据上述分析,当务之急是必须改变尼日利亚联邦政府的支出结构,以提高其财政政策工具的效力并实现既定目标。因此,有必要将政策从目前的保护性部门主导转变为生产性部门主导。研究建议,作为政府计划,预算并执行支出决定;她应该注意自己的整体应计收入水平;确定分配预算的优先级,并确保每个支出类别的质量。这些要求制定财政计划,其主要目标应该是预测并认识到资源约束及其在较大经济体中引发的联系。关键字:总收入,保留收入,经常性支出,资本支出,总支出,财政赤字。

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