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The Rising Importance of BRICS: Creating a New Imaginary

机译:金砖国家的重要性不断上升:创造新的想象

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A spatial shift is taking place in the world economy whose global implications-economic, political, military- are going to be hugely significant, and environmental ones may be catastrophic if corrective action is not taken. The traditionally dominant economies of US, EU, Japan, Australia and New Zealand, though still important players in the global economy, are witnessing their relative decline. In contrast, the hitherto less developed economies are rising in importance. A coherent bloc in these emerging economies has come to be known as BRICS (Brazil, Russian, India, China and South Africa). Although there is another bloc MINT (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey) that finds mention in the development literature, it is BRICS that has concretely emerged as a workable bloc. The announcement about the setting of a BRICS bank at the Brazil summit, the sixth and the most important of all the BRICS summits so far, are a significant step in the direction of concretising the bloc’s identity. Comparable data on the share of each country’s GDP (Gross Domestic Product) in the global GDP from the 1980s onwards reveals the nature of the global spatial shift taking place. US GDP as a share of world GDP in 1980 was 22.6%, had gone up to as high as 23.3% in 2000 (nearly one forth of the entire world’s GDP), declined to 18.6% in 2011 in the wake of the global financial crisis, and according to the latest IMF data (2014), it has gone down to 16.28%. In contrast with that, China’s GDP share in the global GDP was merely 2% in 1980 and has now shot up phenomenally to 16.47%. As a result, China by occupying number one position in the global economy in terms of its share in the global GDP has relegated US to number two position. India’s number in this league table is three and Japan, which was number three until 2011 when its place was taken by India, would be number four. This is a huge change of historical significance. About 34 years ago, two developing countries (China and India) that were, more or less, non-entities in the global economic league, have now reached the top of that league.
机译:世界经济正在发生空间变化,其全球影响将在经济,政治,军事等方面产生巨大影响,如果不采取纠正措施,环境影响将是灾难性的。美国,欧盟,日本,澳大利亚和新西兰等传统上占主导地位的经济体,尽管在全球经济中仍是重要的角色,但它们却在相对下滑。相反,迄今为止欠发达的经济体的重要性正在上升。在这些新兴经济体中,一个团结一致的集团被称为金砖国家(巴西,俄罗斯,印度,中国和南非)。尽管在发展文献中还提到了另一个集团MINT(墨西哥,印度尼西亚,尼日利亚和土耳其),但金砖四国已成为一个可行的集团。关于在巴西峰会上设立金砖国家银行的公告,这是迄今为止金砖六国首脑会议中第六次也是最重要的峰会,是朝着巩固集团身份迈出的重要一步。从1980年代开始,每个国家的GDP(国内生产总值)在全球GDP中所占份额的可比较数据揭示了全球空间转移的本质。 1980年,美国国内生产总值占世界国内生产总值的比重为22.6%,到2000年已高达23.3%(几乎占全球国内生产总值的四分之一),在全球金融危机之后,2011年下降至18.6%。 ,而根据IMF的最新数据(2014年),这一数字已下降至16.28%。与此形成鲜明对比的是,1980年,中国的GDP占全球GDP的比例仅为2%,而现在已猛增至16.47%。结果,就其在全球GDP中的份额而言,中国在全球经济中排名第一,从而使美国跌至第二。印度在该排行榜中排名第三,而日本(在2011年被印度取代之前排名第三)将排在第四。这是具有历史意义的巨大变化。大约34年前,或多或少是全球经济联盟中非实体的两个发展中国家(中国和印度)现在已达到该联盟的榜首。

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