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Evaluation of multivariate linear regression and artificial neural networks in prediction of water quality parameters

机译:多元线性回归和人工神经网络在水质参数预测中的评价

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This paper examined the efficiency of multivariate linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN) models in prediction of two major water quality parameters in a wastewater treatment plant. Biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) and chemical oxygen demand (COD) as well as indirect indicators of organic matters are representative parameters for sewer water quality. Performance of the ANN models was evaluated using coefficient of correlation (r), root mean square error (RMSE) and bias values. The computed values of BOD and COD by model, ANN method and regression analysis were in close agreement with their respective measured values. Results showed that the ANN performance model was better than the MLR model. Comparative indices of the optimized ANN with input values of temperature (T), pH, total suspended solid (TSS) and total suspended (TS) for prediction of BOD was RMSE?=?25.1 mg/L, r?=?0.83 and for prediction of COD was RMSE?=?49.4 mg/L, r?=?0.81. It was found that the ANN model could be employed successfully in estimating the BOD and COD in the inlet of wastewater biochemical treatment plants. Moreover, sensitive examination results showed that pH parameter have more effect on BOD and COD predicting to another parameters. Also, both implemented models have predicted BOD better than COD.
机译:本文研究了多元线性回归(MLR)和人工神经网络(ANN)模型在预测污水处理厂两个主要水质参数中的效率。生化需氧量(BOD)和化学需氧量(COD)以及有机物的间接指标是下水道水质的代表性参数。使用相关系数(r),均方根误差(RMSE)和偏差值评估了ANN模型的性能。通过模型,ANN方法和回归分析得出的BOD和COD的计算值与它们各自的测量值非常吻合。结果表明,人工神经网络性能模型优于MLR模型。输入温度(T),pH,总悬浮固体(TSS)和总悬浮物(TS)的输入值,优化的人工神经网络用于预测BOD的比较指数为RMSE?=?25.1 mg / L,r?=?0.83和? COD的预测值为RMSE?=?49.4 mg / L,r?=?0.81。研究发现,ANN模型可以成功地用于估算废水生化处理厂进水口的BOD和COD。此外,敏感的检查结果表明,pH参数对BOD和COD预测其他参数的影响更大。而且,两个已实现的模型都对BOD的预测优于对COD的预测。

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