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Size of Interventional Markov Equivalence Classes in random DAG models

机译:随机DAG模型中介入Markov等价类的大小

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Directed acyclic graph (DAG) models are popular for capturing causal relationships. From observational and interventional data, a DAG model can only be determined up to its emph{interventional Markov equivalence class} (I-MEC). We investigate the size of MECs for random DAG models generated by uniformly sampling and ordering an Erd?s-Rényi graph. For constant density, we show that the expected $log$ observational MEC size asymptotically (in the number of vertices) approaches a constant. We characterize I-MEC size in a similar fashion in the above settings with high precision. We show that the asymptotic expected number of interventions required to fully identify a DAG is a constant. These results are obtained by exploiting Meek rules and coupling arguments to provide sharp upper and lower bounds on the asymptotic quantities, which are then calculated numerically up to high precision. Our results have important consequences for experimental design of interventions and the development of algorithms for causal inference.
机译:有向无环图(DAG)模型在捕获因果关系方面很流行。从观察和干预数据来看,只能确定DAG模型直至其 emph {介入马尔可夫等效类}(I-MEC)。我们研究通过均匀采样和排序Erd?s-Rényi图生成的随机DAG模型的MEC大小。对于恒定密度,我们表明期望的$ log $观测MEC大小渐近地(以顶点数为单位)接近一个常数。在上述设置中,我们以类似的方式对I-MEC尺寸进行了高精度表征。我们表明,完全识别DAG所需的干预措施的渐近预期数量是一个常数。这些结果是通过利用Meek规则和耦合参数为渐近量提供尖锐的上限和下限而获得的,然后对这些值进行数值计算,直至达到高精度。我们的结果对干预的实验设计和因果推理算法的开发具有重要的意义。

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