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Coupled hydrogeophysical parameter estimation using a sequential Bayesian approach

机译:使用顺序贝叶斯方法的耦合水文地球物理参数估计

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Coupled hydrogeophysical methods infer hydrological and petrophysicalparameters directly from geophysical measurements. Widespread methods do notexplicitly recognize uncertainty in parameter estimates. Therefore, we applya sequential Bayesian framework that provides updates of state, parameters andtheir uncertainty whenever measurements become available. We have coupleda hydrological and an electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) forward code ina particle filtering framework. First, we analyze a synthetic data set oflysimeter infiltration monitored with ERT. In a second step, we apply theapproach to field data measured during an infiltration event on a full-scaledike model. For the synthetic data, the water content distribution and thehydraulic conductivity are accurately estimated after a few time steps. Forthe field data, hydraulic parameters are successfully estimated from watercontent measurements made with spatial time domain reflectometry and ERT, andthe development of their posterior distributions is shown.
机译:耦合的水文地球物理方法可以直接从地球物理测量中推断出水文和岩石物理参数。广泛使用的方法不能明确地识别参数估计中的不确定性。因此,我们采用了顺序贝叶斯框架,该框架在测量可用时提供状态,参数及其不确定性的更新。我们在粒子过滤框架中耦合了水文和电阻率层析成像(ERT)前向代码。首先,我们分析了用ERT监测的溶渗仪渗透的综合数据集。在第二步中,我们将该方法应用于在全尺寸堤防模型中渗透事件期间测得的现场数据。对于合成数据,经过几个时间步长后即可准确估算出水含量分布和水导率。对于现场数据,通过使用时域反射法和ERT进行的含水量测量成功地估算了水力参数,并显示了它们的后验分布。

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