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Analysis of farmers’ adaptation to weather extremes in West African Sudan Savanna

机译:西非苏丹萨凡纳农民对极端天气的适应分析

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摘要

Abstract There have been recent incidences of weather extremes in the West African Sudan Savanna and farmers have responded through implementation of relevant adaptation strategies. For a deeper insight into farmers’ adaptation to climatic shocks, this study documents farmers’ perception of recent changes in the local climate, and identifies factors that influence the number and choice of strategies implemented. Interdependencies among strategies are explored and joint and marginal probabilities of adoption estimated. Upper East Ghana and Southwest Burkina Faso are used as the case study regions. These regions were selected due to extreme reliance of inhabitants on agriculture for sustenance, and their recent exposure to weather extremes. Through estimation of a Poisson regression and multivariate probit model to identify the major factors that influence the number and choice of strategies adopted, we discover that, limited access to credit, markets, and extension services, smaller cropland area, and low level of mechanization could impede effective adaptation to weather extremes. To enhance farmers’ adaptive capacity, policy makers and various stakeholders need to contribute towards improving farmers’ access to credit, markets, and extension services, and implement measures to promote mechanization.
机译:摘要西非苏丹萨凡纳最近发生了极端天气事件,农民通过实施相关的适应策略做出了反应。为了深入了解农民对气候冲击的适应能力,本研究记录了农民对当地气候最近变化的看法,并确定了影响实施策略的数量和选择的因素。探讨了策略之间的相互依赖性,并估计了采用的联合概率和边际概率。上东加纳和西南布基纳法索被用作案例研究区域。之所以选择这些地区,是因为居民极度依赖农业来维持生计,并且他们最近遭受了极端天气的影响。通过估计泊松回归和多元概率模型来确定影响所采用策略的数量和选择的主要因素,我们发现,信贷,市场和推广服务的有限访问,较小的耕地面积和较低的机械化水平可能妨碍有效适应极端天气。为了增强农民的适应能力,决策者和各种利益相关者需要做出贡献,以改善农民获得信贷,市场和推广服务的机会,并采取措施促进机械化。

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