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Reliability Analysis Method Study of Multi-state System Based on FuzzyBayesian Network

机译:基于模糊贝叶斯网络的多状态系统可靠性分析方法研究

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To deal with fuzzy and uncertain information in reliability analysis of multi-state systems, an approach basedon fuzzy Bayesian networks is proposed. In this approach the fuzzy set theory and Bayesian networks methodology areapplied. The fuzzy assessment information from different experts is described by triangular fuzzy numbers, which denotesthe fuzzy probabilities of different states of root nodes. The depended uncertain ordered weighted averaging (DUOWA)operator is used to aggregate assessments information. Through defuzzification calculation, the crisp probabilities are obtainedas the prior probabilities of the root nodes. Bayesian network (BN) is used to handle the uncertainty of logical relationshipbetween nodes and to compute system reliability. A case study concerning the reliability analysis in cell productionline is provided and conducted using the proposed approach to illustrate its effectivity and practicability.
机译:针对多状态系统可靠性分析中的模糊和不确定信息,提出了一种基于模糊贝叶斯网络的方法。在这种方法中,应用了模糊集理论和贝叶斯网络方法。来自不同专家的模糊评估信息用三角模糊数表示,它表示根节点不同状态的模糊概率。依赖的不确定的有序加权平均(DUOWA)运算符用于汇总评估信息。通过反模糊计算,获得了清晰的概率作为根节点的先验概率。贝叶斯网络(BN)用于处理节点之间逻辑关系的不确定性并计算系统可靠性。通过提出的方法,提供并进行了有关电池生产线可靠性分析的案例研究,以说明其有效性和实用性。

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