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Grounding line transient response in marine ice sheet models

机译:海洋冰盖模型中的接地线瞬态响应

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Marine ice-sheet stability is mostly controlled by the dynamics of the grounding line, i.e. the junction between the grounded ice sheet and the floating ice shelf. Grounding line migration has been investigated within the framework of MISMIP (Marine Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project), which mainly aimed at investigating steady state solutions. Here we focus on transient behaviour, executing short-term simulations (200 yr) of a steady ice sheet perturbed by the release of the buttressing restraint exerted by the ice shelf on the grounded ice upstream. The transient grounding line behaviour of four different flowline ice-sheet models has been compared. The models differ in the physics implemented (full Stokes and shallow shelf approximation), the numerical approach, as well as the grounding line treatment. Their overall response to the loss of buttressing is found to be broadly consistent in terms of grounding line position, rate of surface elevation change and surface velocity. However, still small differences appear for these latter variables, and they can lead to large discrepancies ( 100%) observed in terms of ice sheet contribution to sea level when cumulated over time. Despite the recent important improvements of marine ice-sheet models in their ability to compute steady state configurations, our results question the capacity of these models to compute short-term reliable sea-level rise projections.
机译:海洋冰盖的稳定性主要由接地线(即接地的冰盖与浮冰架之间的连接点)的动力学控制。已在MISMIP(海洋冰盖模型比对项目)的框架内对接地线的迁移进行了研究,其主要目的是研究稳态解决方案。在这里,我们关注瞬态行为,对稳定的冰盖进行短期模拟(200年),该冰盖受到冰架对上游接地冰的施加的约束释放的干扰。比较了四种不同流线冰盖模型的暂态接地线行为。这些模型在实现的物理方法(完整的斯托克斯和浅层架近似),数值方法以及接地线处理方面有所不同。在接地线位置,表面高度变化率和表面速度方面,发现它们对支撑强度损失的总体响应是大致一致的。但是,对于这些后面的变量,仍然存在很小的差异,并且随着时间的推移,它们可能导致在冰盖对海平面的贡献方面观察到较大的差异(> 100%)。尽管最近海洋冰盖模型在计算稳态构造的能力方面有了重要改进,但我们的结果对这些模型计算短期可靠海平面上升预测的能力提出了质疑。

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