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Grounding line transient response in marine ice sheet models

机译:海洋冰盖模型中的接地线瞬态响应

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Marine ice-sheet stability is mostly controlled by the dynamics of thegrounding line, i.e. the junction between the grounded ice sheet and thefloating ice shelf. Grounding line migration has been investigated within theframework of MISMIP (Marine Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project), whichmainly aimed at investigating steady state solutions. Here we focus ontransient behaviour, executing short-term simulations (200 yr) of a steadyice sheet perturbed by the release of the buttressing restraint exerted bythe ice shelf on the grounded ice upstream. The transient grounding linebehaviour of four different flowline ice-sheet models has been compared. Themodels differ in the physics implemented (full Stokes and shallow shelfapproximation), the numerical approach, as well as the grounding linetreatment. Their overall response to the loss of buttressing is found to bebroadly consistent in terms of grounding line position, rate of surfaceelevation change and surface velocity. However, still small differencesappear for these latter variables, and they can lead to large discrepancies(> 100%) observed in terms of ice sheet contribution to sea level whencumulated over time. Despite the recent important improvements of marine ice-sheet models in their ability to compute steady state configurations, ourresults question the capacity of these models to compute short-term reliablesea-level rise projections.
机译:海洋冰盖的稳定性主要由接地线(即接地的冰盖和浮动的冰架之间的连接点)的动力学控制。已在MISMIP(海洋冰盖模型比较项目)的框架内研究了接地线的迁移,其主要目的是研究稳态解决方案。在这里,我们关注瞬态行为,对冰片进行短期模拟(200年),该冰片受到冰架对上游接地冰块施加的支撑约束的释放而受到干扰。比较了四种不同流线冰盖模型的暂态接地线行为。这些模型在实现的物理方法(完整的斯托克斯和浅层架子逼近),数值方法以及接地线处理方面有所不同。在接地线位置,表面高程变化率和表面速度方面,发现它们对失去支撑的总体响应极为一致。然而,这些变量的变化仍然很小,并且随着时间的推移,它们可能导致在冰盖对海平面的贡献方面观察到较大的差异(> 100%)。尽管最近海洋冰盖模型在计算稳态构造的能力方面有了重要的改进,但我们的结果仍然质疑这些模型在计算短期可靠海平面上升预测方面的能力。

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