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Decomposing changes in income risk using consumption data

机译:使用消费数据分解收入风险的变化

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We develop a new approach to the decomposition of income risk within a nonstationary model of intertemporal choice. The approach allows for changes in income risk over the life cycle and across the business cycle, allowing for mixtures of persistent and transitory components in the dynamic process for income. We focus on what can be learned from repeated cross‐section data alone. Evidence from a stochastic simulation of consumption choices in a nonstationarity environment is used to show the robustness of the method for decomposing income risk. The approach is used to investigate the changes in income risk in Britain across the inequality growth period from the late 1970s to the late 1990s. We document peaks in the variance of permanent shocks at the time of recessions.
机译:我们开发了一种新的方法来分解跨期选择的非平稳模型中的收入风险。该方法允许在整个生命周期和整个业务周期内改变收入风险,从而在收入动态过程中考虑到持久性和临时性因素的混合。我们专注于仅从重复的横截面数据中学到的知识。在非平稳性环境中对消费选择进行随机模拟的证据用于显示分解收入风险的方法的鲁棒性。该方法用于调查从1970年代末到1990年代末的整个不平等增长时期英国的收入风险变化。我们记录了经济衰退时永久性冲击方差的峰值。

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